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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 16 June 2026 by the MarketUK weather desk. Data from national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Expect a settled, mild start to the coming two weeks based on the live forecast above, then a shift towards cooler, wetter conditions from mid-month. This pattern reflects a typical transition to late autumn in the UK, so plan outdoor activities accordingly.
What does the long-term forecast look like for the UK?
Temperature ranges will hover near the seasonal norm of 9–13°C across England and Wales, with Scotland and northern England 1–2°C cooler. The 30-day weather forecast UK Met Office outlook suggests a 60–70% chance of above-average rainfall from the third week onward, driven by low pressure systems tracking from the Atlantic. For a more granular view, the 10-day forecast gives the next step, while the long range weather forecast 30 days provides a broader probability of unsettled spells.
When can we expect significant weather changes?
A notable shift arrives around day 14–18, when the jet stream is expected to move south, bringing wet and windy weather to most regions. The UK weather hub tracks these developments in near-real time. After that, a cooler period with frost risk in the north is possible, especially in Scotland and northern England. The bbc weather 21 day forecast often picks up this signal earlier than other models.
How reliable are long-term weather forecasts?
Forecasts beyond 10 days have limited skill; the Met Office rates its 30-day outlook as probabilistic, not definitive. The 90-day weather forecast UK is even less certain, useful only for broad trends. Always cross-check with the live forecast above.
Is there a 30-day forecast available for London?
Yes, the Met Office issues a 30 day weather forecast UK (including for London) that gives percentage probabilities for temperature and rainfall. The long term weather london outlook currently shows a 55% chance of near-normal temperatures with slightly wetter conditions from mid-month.
Where can I find a BBC-style long-range outlook?
For a bbc weather 21 day forecast or long term weather bbc, the BBC Weather app uses EPS data. Alternatively, the Met Office’s long range weather forecast 30 days is the most authoritative source for seasonal tendencies.